AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$263k Vol.
$27k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 Vol.
$291 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

58%

Alibaba

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

66%

Z.ai

$126k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$30k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

71%

Alibaba

$97k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

87%

Alibaba

$508k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

68%

Moonshot

$57k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

55%

Google

$40k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month