AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$264k Vol.
$22k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 Vol.
$188 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

56%

Alibaba

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

65%

Z.ai

$128k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$30k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$17k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

71%

Alibaba

$101k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

51%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

88%

Alibaba

$517k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

58%

Google

$41k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

88%

Google

$24k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months