Safety Predictions & Odds· 245 markets

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

8%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$124 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

37%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$311 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

25%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$169 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

48%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

43%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$495 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Big Game: Safety?

Super Bowl LX · NFL Playoffs

Big Game: Safety?

No

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
F1 Belgian Grand Prix: Safety Car?

Sports · Formula 1

F1 Belgian Grand Prix: Safety Car?

Yes

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
F
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car?

Sports · Formula 1

F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended