Robot Dreams Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

51%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$4 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

50%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$80 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

28%

MGM Resorts

$18.3m Vol.
$100k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

10%

Workhorse

$242k Vol.
$51k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

11%

Yes

$126k Vol.
$3k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

52%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

13%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$130 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

6%

Yes

$621 Vol.
$941 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

35%

1470+

$43k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

50%

0

$147k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$611 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

77%

Z.ai

$135k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$72k Vol.
$64k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month