Robot Dreams Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

51%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$4 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

51%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

26%

MGM Resorts

$18.3m Vol.
$110k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

16%

Workhorse

$241k Vol.
$48k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

6%

Yes

$125k Vol.
$5k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

48%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

10%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$170 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$244k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

12%

Yes

$478 Vol.
$434 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$144k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$582 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

75%

Z.ai

$134k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

31%

Google

$65k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month