Referenda Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

31%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$240 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

11%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$518 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Neutrality initiative

$62k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

63%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
W50 Yecla: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Angela Fita Boluda

Tennis · Sports

W50 Yecla: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Angela Fita Boluda

0%

Sofia Camila Rojas

$60k Vol.
$124k Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass?

Yes

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

80–85%

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

No 3–6%

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Guinea-Bissau Constitutional Referendum

Passes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
2
2026 Slovakia Referendum: What will pass?

Cancelling politician annuity

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

No

$286k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Civilian Service Act

$774k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended