Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

73%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$45 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$172 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$414k Vol.
$211k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

40%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$69k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$289k today
304
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

Below 190

$311k Vol.
$253k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

67%

Democratic Party

$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

42%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$852 Vol.
$488 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

30%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$303k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
W
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
C
California redistricting referendum passes?

Yes

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended