Product Release Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

18%

Yes

$311k Vol.
$4k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$416k Vol.
$10k Liq.
43
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$348 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

19%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

26%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$304 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

89%

No release by September 30

$109k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

7%

OKX

$126k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

43%

1.3%+

$46k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

58%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

56%

0.0 to 0.1%

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

4%

Yes

$124k Vol.
$5k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$43k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

42%

$200M

$475k Vol.
$166k Liq.
14
Ends in over 1 year
G
GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

94%

November 30

$135k Vol.
$80k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$704k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

50%

October 12–October 18

$61k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
V
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

98%

$200M

$2.6m Vol.
$276k Liq.
53
Ends in over 1 year