Product Release Predictions & Odds· 262 markets

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

19%

Yes

$311k Vol.
$5k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$429k Vol.
$9k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$360 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

56%

1.3%+

$48k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

18%

Clip-on device for clothing

$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

59%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

5%

Yes

$125k Vol.
$6k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$9k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

56%

0.0 to 0.1%

$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

62%

2.5–2.9%

$50k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

94%

November 30

$135k Vol.
$86k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

33%

2.0-2.5%

$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

51%

4.3-4.6%

$40k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

70%

≥3.0%

$35k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

23%

Yes

$126 Vol.
$106 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

92%

November 30

$560k Vol.
$31k Liq.
16
Ends in 2 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

49%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$99 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

32%

0.0% to 0.2%

$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 29

$20k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days