Product Release Predictions & Odds· 284 markets

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

19%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$4k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$430k Vol.
$13k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

58%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

6%

Yes

$125k Vol.
$5k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

56%

0.0 to 0.1%

$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

91%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

94%

November 30

$565k Vol.
$79k Liq.
18
Ends in 2 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

38%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

50%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

48%

4%–5.5%

$7 Vol.
$74 Liq.
Ended
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

44%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$189 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

4%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

36%

4.0-4.3%

$45k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

35%

0.3% to 0.5%

$17k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
K
Kimi K4 released by…?

Kimi K4 released by…?

8%

December 31, 2026

$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

70%

≥3.0%

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

2%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$391 Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$910k Vol.
$105k Liq.
17
Ends in 4 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

99%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$56k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months