Prize Predictions & Odds· 280 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

30%

Save the Children

$24.3m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
208
Ends in 20 days
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$285k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$113k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

32%

December 31, 2028

$376k Vol.
$65k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
T
Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

50%

Artist A

$16k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$222k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

60%

Hodge Conjecture

$165k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

79%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$420 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$62k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

39%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$508 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 Vol.
$670 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Yes

$653k Vol.
$0 Liq.
123
Ended
2
2025 Mercury Prize Winner

Sam Fender – ‘People Watching’

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

László Krasznahorkai

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
N
Nobel Peace Prize 2025

Nobel Peace Prize 2025

Donald Trump

$30.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
904
Ended