Articles Predictions & Odds· 163 markets

A
Another NATO article 4 by...?

Another NATO article 4 by...?

50%

December 31

$170k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NATO article 5 before 2027?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

7%

Yes

$245k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

99%

Trump

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

44%

December 31, 2027

$16k Vol.
$724 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

43%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$300 Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

69%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$12k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump be impeached by...?

Will Trump be impeached by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$1.0m Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?
$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NATO article 5 by November 30?

No

$474 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?
$908 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
N
NATO Article 5 by March 31?

No

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?

No

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NATO article 5 before March?

No

$738k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NATO article 5 in 2025?

No

$299k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended