Prize Predictions & Odds· 283 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$77k today
210
Ends in 6 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

75%

December 31, 2027

$284k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

80%

December 31, 2027

$313k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

50%

Artist A

$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

53%

Hodge Conjecture

$185k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

59%

0

$151k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

33%

December 31, 2028

$396k Vol.
$94k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?

74%

Minecraft

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

37%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$514 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Yes

$653k Vol.
$0 Liq.
123
Ended
2
2025 Mercury Prize Winner

Sam Fender – ‘People Watching’

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

László Krasznahorkai

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended