Prize Predictions & Odds· 282 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$363k today
210
Ends in 6 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

82%

December 31, 2027

$272k Vol.
$26k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

32%

December 31, 2028

$396k Vol.
$80k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

50%

0

$147k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

61%

Hodge Conjecture

$182k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$304k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

68%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$29k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
T
Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

50%

Artist A

$17k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

75%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$982 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?

75%

Hide / Find

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

39%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$520 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Yes

$653k Vol.
$0 Liq.
123
Ended
2
2025 Mercury Prize Winner

Sam Fender – ‘People Watching’

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

László Krasznahorkai

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended