Policies Predictions & Odds· 188 markets

L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

58%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$307 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

33%

December 31

$881 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

1%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

13%

Yes

$356 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

19%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

43%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$268k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

88%

September 28

$105k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

92%

Jon Ossoff

$154k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$205k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

15%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$165 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

14%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$174 Liq.
Ended
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

11%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$35k Liq.
9
Ends in 5 days
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$59k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

9%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

13%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

94%

November 13, 2026

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months