Policies Predictions & Odds· 188 markets

L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

56%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$300 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

33%

December 31

$881 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

1%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

20%

Yes

$330 Vol.
$825 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

18%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

26%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$991 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

89%

September 24

$104k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

92%

Jon Ossoff

$154k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$203k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

14%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$165 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

14%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$172 Liq.
Ended
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

8%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 days
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$54k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

10%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

14%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

94%

November 13, 2026

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year