Policies Predictions & Odds· 188 markets

L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

63%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$288 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

32%

December 31

$881 Vol.
$242 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

19%

October 31

$20k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

4%

Yes

$554 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

28%

Yes

$206 Vol.
$757 Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

27%

December 31, 2027

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

40%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

35%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

92%

September 21

$48k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

75%

Mark Carney

$137k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

46%

December 31

$191k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

23%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$236 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$309 Liq.
Ended
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$27k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

33%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$70k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

21%

Yes

$333 Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

13%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

93%

November 13, 2026

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year