Policies Predictions & Odds· 188 markets

L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

60%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$258 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

33%

December 31

$881 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

30%

October 31

$46k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

19%

Yes

$330 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

20%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

20%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

40%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$906 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$279k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 29

$103k Vol.
$3k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

100%

Mark Carney

$152k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

43%

December 31

$202k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

18%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$201 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

14%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ended
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$43k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

21%

Yes

$333 Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

13%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

95%

November 13, 2026

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months