Peace Predictions & Odds· 441 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
209
Ends in 6 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

7%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$782k Vol.
$74k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

2%

Yes

$627k Vol.
$23k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$34k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

76%

March 31, 2027

$12.1m Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$290k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

73%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.5m Vol.
$822k Liq.
🔥$129k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

52%

Abbas Araghchi

$887k Vol.
$255k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

49%

Denuclearize / Denuclearization

$112k Vol.
$5k Liq.
🔥$81k today
4
Ends in about 7 hours
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$61k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

50%

Candidate A

$7k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$244k Liq.
35
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$7.9m Vol.
$877k Liq.
🔥$66k today
216
Ends in 9 months
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

58%

Alliance

$558 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

63%

Leo Team

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

90%

Liquid

$141 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 days