Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.4m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$61k today
208
Ends in 19 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$774k Vol.
$84k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

87%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$917k Liq.
🔥$103k today
Ends in 10 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$813k Vol.
$325k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$27k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$58k Liq.
7
Ended
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

18%

October 31

$20k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$7.8m Vol.
$930k Liq.
🔥$56k today
216
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$298k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

14%

Yes

$429k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

18%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months