Peace Deals Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

2%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$13k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$185k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

22%

October 31

$60k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$248k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

6%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$13k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement on January 22?

Iran / Israel / Gaza 7+ times

$361k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended
U
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?

No

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

No

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
I
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?

No

$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes

$40.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5,948
Ended
U
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

No

$3.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
277
Ended
T
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

No

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
234
Ended
W
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by...?

November 21

$196k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
A
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?

Yes

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Yes

$635k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended
T
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Yes

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

April 18

$112.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4,914
Ended