Peace Agreements Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$60k today
210
Ends in 6 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

7%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$787k Vol.
$92k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

2%

Yes

$627k Vol.
$23k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

100%

March 31, 2027

$12.5m Vol.
$432k Liq.
🔥$760k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

100%

USA

$6.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$428k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

99%

Steve Witkoff

$934k Vol.
$270k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$57k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$7.9m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$64k today
216
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$41k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Somaliland

$1.7m Vol.
$171k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$275k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months