Peace Agreements Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.4m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$57k today
209
Ends in 18 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$778k Vol.
$79k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

10%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

5%

Yes

$622k Vol.
$20k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

38%

Jared Kushner

$869k Vol.
$317k Liq.
🔥$93k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

70%

March 31, 2027

$11.8m Vol.
$217k Liq.
🔥$84k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$836k Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in 9 days
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$59k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in about 21 hours
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

World

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$57k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.8m Vol.
$861k Liq.
🔥$65k today
216
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

26%

October 31

$30k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$243k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended