Peace Agreements Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$338k today
210
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$807k Vol.
$135k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

4%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$19k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$33k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

79%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$267k Liq.
🔥$84k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

73%

Vote / Voter / Votes

$7k Vol.
$734 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$106k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

73%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$89k today
216
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

30%

October 31

$46k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

26%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

16%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$239k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ended
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months