Peace Agreements Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
208
Ends in 19 days
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

67%

December 31

$772k Vol.
$84k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

11%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%

Yes

$620k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$934k Liq.
🔥$127k today
Ends in 10 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$249k Liq.
🔥$78k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$775k Vol.
$330k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$26k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$56k Liq.
7
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.8m Vol.
$907k Liq.
216
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

18%

October 31

$20k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

24%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$276k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended