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Leadership Predictions & Odds· 167 markets

AllSportsPoliticsBasketballGazaIranPremier LeagueTrumpElectionsHamasMiddle EastCanadaEPLLeadershipIvy League AntisemitismMohamed DeifHaniyehUKNBAUnited KingdomGlobal ElectionsGeopoliticsVanceMentionsBCTrump PresidencyStarmerWorldQuebecIran RegimeIran CeasefireU.S. X IranKhamenei OutLabourConservativeBritish ColumbiaKeir StarmerMain ElectionInternational Election PropsUK Labour LeadershipAndy Burnham
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Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Politics·All

Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Yes

$10k Vol.
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2
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M
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Politics·All

Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?

Yes

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

Politics·UK

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

Yes

$27k Vol.
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1
Ends in 3 months
C
Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Politics·United Kingdom

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Andy Burnham

$158k Vol.
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8
Ends in 3 months
B
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Politics·BC

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$485k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Geopolitics·Trump

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ceasefire

$101k Vol.
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11
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Politics·Canada

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
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Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Elections·Starmer

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

December 31, 2026

$186k Vol.
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15
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U
UK Labour Party Deputy Leadership Election Winner

Elections·UK

UK Labour Party Deputy Leadership Election Winner

Lucy Powell

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
H
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

No

$802k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
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N
Next Premier of Quebec

Elections·Canada

Next Premier of Quebec

Christine Fréchette

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Slovak Prime Minister event on Saturday?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Slovak Prime Minister event on Saturday?

Russia / Ukraine 7+ times

$254k Vol.
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50
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?

Mentions · World

What will JD Vance say during remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?

God 3+ times

$91k Vol.
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10
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W
What will Trump say during Meloni events on April 17?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Meloni events on April 17?

Putin

$404k Vol.
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33
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W
Which college presidents who testified on antisemitism will stay through 2023?

All · Ivy League Antisemitism

Which college presidents who testified on antisemitism will stay through 2023?

Sally Kornbluth (MIT)

$160k Vol.
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42
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L
Lakers Next Head Coach?

NBA · Basketball

Lakers Next Head Coach?

JJ Redick

$42k Vol.
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Ended
W
Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

EPL · Sports

Which Soccer Managers will be Sacked?

Mauricio Pochettino

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

All

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

Vince Fong

$139k Vol.
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2
Ended
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'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

All

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
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W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

April 30

$137k Vol.
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