Openai Vs Elon Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$925 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$35 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

25%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$207 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

gpt · OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

75%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$694 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$273k Vol.
$29k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

3%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
$297 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

83%

Anthropic

$24k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month