Open AI Predictions & Odds· 423 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

41%

A Great Chaos

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

50%

↓ $45

$0 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

16%

Yes

$275k Vol.
$28k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

55%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

78%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

72%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$112k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

54%

Google

$23k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

84%

OpenAI

$101k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

56%

December 31

$489 Vol.
$378 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$32k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

85%

Google

$112k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month