Open AI Predictions & Odds· 422 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

21%

Diamant Esports

$42 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

36%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$306 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

59%

aimclub

$361 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$271k Vol.
$28k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

80%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

4%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$66k Vol.
$771k Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

52%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

59%

Google

$21k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months