Open AI Predictions & Odds· 423 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

21%

Diamant Esports

$1k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

37%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$745 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

100%

aimclub

$19k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

19%

Yes

$273k Vol.
$25k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$98k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

80%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$607 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$109k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

60%

Google

$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

56%

Anthropic

$93k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 Vol.
$353 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$31k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

85%

Google

$112k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months