Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

95%

Nuclear

$17k Vol.
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R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$802k Vol.
$98k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

45%

USA

$12k Vol.
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I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

86%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$677 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
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W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$171k Vol.
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W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

18%

Yes

$119k Vol.
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U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
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W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
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1
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S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

30%

October 31

$44k Vol.
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R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
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35
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$7.9m Vol.
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🔥$63k today
217
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
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W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$824k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

89%

December 31

$274k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

18%

Mexico

$396k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

27%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$332 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

45%

December 31

$201k Vol.
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3
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I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
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