Model Predictions & Odds· 789 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$938k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$362k Vol.
$447k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

94%

No release by September 30

$120k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$86k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

44%

October 12–October 18

$66k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

83%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$10k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

93%

40%+

$70k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$172k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

47%

1450+

$15k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$10k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

79%

Anthropic

$4k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$39k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$52k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1560

$220k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

30%

1575

$132k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months