Makkah Joint Defence Agreement Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$287 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

26%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$57k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$8.1m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
231
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

57%

December 31

$1.4m Vol.
$105k Liq.
12
Ends in 2 days
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

58%

December 31

$210k Vol.
$64k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

12%

Egypt

$65k Vol.
$158k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

21%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

22%

October 31

$60k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

8%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

10%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

36%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$19k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
H
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

59%

September 28

$117k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

36%

December 31

$320k Vol.
$58k Liq.
4
Ends in 1 day
H
Houthi military action against Israel by...?

12%

October 31

$240k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$82k Vol.
$41k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month