Llm Predictions & Odds· 254 markets

W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$609 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

72%

1440+

$679 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$999k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

69%

1430+

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

79%

1450+

$14k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$245k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$159k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

39%

1450+

$17k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

37%

1480+

$41k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

37%

↑ 1530

$218k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

76%

1500+

$98k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

82%

None in 2026

$126k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

36%

1575

$133k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

38%

1560

$222k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

91%

1480+

$173k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

3%

1540

$389k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

All · google

Will Google have the best LLM before 2024?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
What will Oracle say during their next earnings call?

AI 25+ times

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended