License Predictions & Odds· 182 markets

U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

6%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$384 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?

9%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

83%

June 30, 2027?

$52k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

84%

October 31, 2026

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
L
LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

77%

Maryville University

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
L
LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
$418k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Level UP vs Cyber Hero (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

49%

Level UP

$105 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

58%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$307 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

64%

December 31, 2027

$135k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Omnix (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

77%

Team Yandex

$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
M
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Level UP vs Rakuzan (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

Esports · Mobile Legends: Bang Bang

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Level UP vs Rakuzan (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season

35%

Level UP

$1 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
T
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

3%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

36%

October 31

$375k Vol.
$24k Liq.
6
Ends in 5 days
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

55%

December 31

$50k Vol.
$974 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

$289k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Cupid Esports vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

82%

Cupid Esports

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

4%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months