Trudeau Predictions & Odds· 137 markets

K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

18%

Yes

$52k Vol.
$1k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

61%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$913 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$658k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

$106 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY?

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

No

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?

No

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

No

$6.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
588
Ended
W
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?

Yes

$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?

No

$317k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trudeau out before April?

Trudeau out before April?

Yes

$425k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
T
Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?

No

$493k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
T
Trudeau resigns by Friday?

No

$523k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
W
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?

Yes

$145k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended
T
Trudeau resigns before February?

Yes

$654k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended
W
Will Trudeau resign Today?

Yes

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
T
Trudeau out in 2024?

Trudeau out in 2024?

No

$433k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended