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Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessJulie SuU.S. Secretary Of LaborAppointmentsTrumpSean Patrick MaloneySecretary Of LaborLabor DepartmentElon MuskTim RyanUS GovernmentAndy LevinJobsDOGEUnemploymentSenateEconomyBlsTrump PresidencyTrump CabinetRecurringMacro IndicatorsLabor StatisticsJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollUnemployment InsuranceDOLLaborJOLTSJob Openings
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

Economy·jobs

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

19%

7.4M to 7.5M

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

Economy·jobs

September Unemployment Rate

39%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$523k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
W
Will DOGE audit the Department of Labor before May?

Politics·DOGE

Will DOGE audit the Department of Labor before May?

Yes

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Which agency will be most efficient end of March?

Politics·DOGE

Which agency will be most efficient end of March?

HHS

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling

$127k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Politics·All

Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Tim Ryan

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

Politics·us government

Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

John Curtis

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

Politics·Trump Cabinet

Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

No

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

210k-220k

$195 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8?

$247 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

Economy·DOL

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

210k-220k

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1?

$674 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in July?

Politics·Business

How many Jobs added in July?

100-150k

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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