Uptspt Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

18%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

65%

None before 2027

$82k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
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JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

17%

7.3M to 7.4M

$25k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

19%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

21%

October 14

$249k Vol.
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1
Ends in 1 day
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

5.0%

$526k Vol.
$19k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
W
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

$467k Vol.
$346k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Tim Ryan

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling

$127k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

John Curtis

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?

No

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M
Major US official out by April 30?

No

$16k Vol.
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M
Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

$40k Vol.
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Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Scott Bessent

$6.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended