Uptspt Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

9%

Yes

$248 Vol.
$652 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$84k Vol.
$247k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

18%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$896 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

18%

7.3M to 7.4M

$702 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

37%

4.1%

$31k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$546k Vol.
$17k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

35%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

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25
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?

Tim Ryan

$8k Vol.
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Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling

$127k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer?

John Curtis

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Labor Secretary?

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$99k Vol.
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W
Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?

No

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8
Ended
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Major US official out by April 30?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended