Internet Policy Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

81%

No change

$64k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

73%

No change

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

46%

October 31

$75k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$18k Vol.
$276 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$132 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

56%

200+

$831 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

95%

<5

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

97%

200+

$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

99%

<5

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

99%

200+

$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs ØTF (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs ØTF (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

70%

Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports

$84 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

82%

No change

$135k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

54%

NIP

$6 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C
$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended