Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 996 markets

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What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Terror / Terrorism

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W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

94%

Antisemitic / Antisemitism

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TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

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9
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W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

90%

China / Chinese

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W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

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W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

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O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

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C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

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A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

3%

Yes

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T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

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E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

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2
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S
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?

10%

Yes

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W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

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A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

10%

Yes

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W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

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I
Iran invades Kuwait by...?

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

6%

December 31

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10
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A
AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

23%

December 31, 2027

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3
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J
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

13%

Yes

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I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

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I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

11%

Yes

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