Indicement Predictions & Odds· 285 markets

A
Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?

1%

Yes

$796 Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?

1%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Clavicular arrested by...?

Clavicular arrested by...?

5%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
L
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?

6%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

35%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$417 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
L
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?

8%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30?

50%

Yes

$42 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
L
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

22%

December 31, 2027

$671k Vol.
$76k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

42%

Yes

$850 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?

5%

Yes

$527 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
L
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?

Leopold Aschenbrenner

Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?

34%

December 31, 2027

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?

1%

Yes

$209 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
K
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
P
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$246 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

7%

Yes

$143k Vol.
$12k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

New York · Manhattan

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

20%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$738 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
D
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$716 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

20%

John Brennan

$453k Vol.
$348k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months