Arrest Predictions & Odds· 369 markets

W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

27%

John Brennan

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V
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

10%

Yes

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9
Ends in 3 months
W
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?

10%

Yes

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16
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W
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

68%

Juan Reyes Mejía González

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2
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K
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

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E
Evo Morales arrested by...?

Evo Morales arrested by...?

26%

Yes

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20
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F
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

5%

Yes

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4
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H
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

11%

Yes

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4
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E
Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30?

50%

Yes

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P
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

2%

Yes

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W
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?

1%

Yes

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N
Netanyahu arrested by…?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

7%

December 31

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D
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%

Yes

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S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

40%

Yes

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3
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G
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

83%

Yes

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7
Ended
O
Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

3%

Yes

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L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

7%

Yes

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U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

39%

October 31

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A
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

9%

Yes

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E
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?

6%

Yes

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4
Ends in 3 months