Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 302 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$12.6m Vol.
$471k Liq.
🔥$123k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.3m Vol.
$264k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$83k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$37k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

81%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$463k Vol.
$260k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

31%

October 31

$853k Vol.
$18k Liq.
49
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

8%

Yes

$845k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

13%

Yes

$412k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

28%

<20

$5k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$162k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

85%

0-5

$58k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?

41%

20-24

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

99%

September 23

$34k Vol.
$39k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 days
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$36k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

13%

10+

$36k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

28%

US

$50k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$525k Liq.
Ended