Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 391 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

22%

Yes

$12.7m Vol.
$344k Liq.
🔥$176k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.4m Vol.
$278k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$87k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$41k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$48k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

8%

Yes

$849k Vol.
$143k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

81%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$463k Vol.
$260k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

31%

October 31

$853k Vol.
$8k Liq.
49
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

13%

Yes

$413k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

30%

<20

$5k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

87%

0-5

$59k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$162k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 21?

39%

20-24

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

98%

September 23

$34k Vol.
$39k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

11%

10+

$36k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

5%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$38k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

28%

US

$50k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

40%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 7 days