Ships Predictions & Odds· 268 markets

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

40%

20-24

$32k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

17%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

51%

<170

$13k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

41%

10+

$33k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

20%

October 31

$842k Vol.
$19k Liq.
49
Ends in 10 days
C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

$602 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

64%

0-5

$38k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

44%

<25

$35k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$841 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$532k Liq.
🔥$253k today
573
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$536k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$378k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.1m Vol.
$313k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 11 days
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

37%

October 31

$63k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

29%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

7%

Yes

$749k Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

84%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$440k Vol.
$150k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months