Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 298 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.1m Vol.
$327k Liq.
🔥$94k today
Ends in 11 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

7%

Yes

$749k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

28%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$65k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

77%

September 18

$26k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

43%

20-24

$32k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$502k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

26%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$108k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$378k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

3%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 11 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

64%

0-5

$38k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

45%

10+

$33k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%

Yes

$99k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

20%

October 31

$842k Vol.
$18k Liq.
49
Ends in 10 days
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

84%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$440k Vol.
$123k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

26%

US

$49k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$532k Liq.
Ended
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$30k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months