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Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

AllPoliticsIranTrumpElectionsU.S. PoliticsUS GovernmentShutdownPeace DealNegotiation TopicsCongressGovernment ShutdownFundingUS ElectionNuclearSenateGeopoliticsEconomyDerivativesTrump PresidencyHouseGov Shutdown2025 PredictionsEconomic PolicyMidtermsU.S. PolticsMinnesota UnrestUraniumShut DownU.S. X IranEnrichFund
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Politics·house

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

Politics·shutdown

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Politics·US Election

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$108k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$253k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
5
5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Politics·Derivatives

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

No

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Politics·Derivatives

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Yes

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US gov shutdown/lapse on March 23?

All

US gov shutdown/lapse on March 23?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US government shutdown by October 1?

Politics·Congress

US government shutdown by October 1?

Yes

$13.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,847
Ended
C
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Yes

$761k Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
U
US government shutdown in 2025?

Politics·Congress

US government shutdown in 2025?

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
141
Ended
H
How long will the Government Shutdown last?

Politics·Minnesota Unrest

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

1+ day

$23.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US government shutdown by Mar 9?

Politics·All

US government shutdown by Mar 9?

Yes

$388k Vol.
$0 Liq.
134
Ended
G
Government shutdown on Saturday?

Politics·Trump

Government shutdown on Saturday?

No

$13.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the Government shutdown end by...?

Politics·Congress

Will the Government shutdown end by...?

November 15

$12.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
169
Ended
H
How long will the Government Shutdown last?

Politics·Trump

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

1+ day

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?

Politics·All

Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?

No

$125k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W

All

Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23?

Yes

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
U
US government shutdown Saturday?

Politics·Parent For Derivative

US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes

$157.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

Politics·All

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

No

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
W
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?

No

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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