Federal Predictions & Odds· 743 markets

F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

56%

Bia Kicis

$47k Vol.
$112k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

94%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$29k Vol.
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1
Ends in 13 days
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

16%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

32%

Yes

$318 Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

83%

Celina Leão

$17k Vol.
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1
Ends in 13 days
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 Vol.
$296 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$552 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

91%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$34k Vol.
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Ends in 13 days
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

11%

Yes

$345 Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

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Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

55%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
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5
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
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3
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
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Ends in 2 months
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

72%

December 31

$26k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 10 days
M
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

8%

Yes

$77k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

10%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$17 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

24%

Yes

$95k Vol.
$93 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months