Federal Predictions & Odds· 732 markets

F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

67%

Bia Kicis

$47k Vol.
$101k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

88%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k Vol.
$104k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

17%

Yes

$82k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

91%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$34k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$364 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 Vol.
$259 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$544 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

85%

Celina Leão

$17k Vol.
$86k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

11%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$486 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$164k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

55%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

10%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$15 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

20%

Yes

$95k Vol.
$135 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months