Fact Check Predictions & Odds· 170 markets

W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

91%

China

$996 Vol.
$795 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$168 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

9%

Changpeng Zhao (CZ)

$63k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$234k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

75%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$8k Vol.
$51 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
F
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?

No

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
F
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

No

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended
F
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?

Yes

$685k Vol.
$0 Liq.
70
Ended
F
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?

No

$400k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
F
Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?

No

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
F
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Culture · Politics

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Yes

$777k Vol.
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56
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Yes

$2.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
518
Ended
F
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

Greta Thunberg · Gaza

Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

No

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is the suspect Robin Westman?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?

Yes

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
855
Ended
F
Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test?

No

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
F
Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?

No

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
F
Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

No

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended