Fact Check Predictions & Odds· 170 markets

W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

60%

Scam

$4k Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

6%

Eric Trump

$88k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 7 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$249k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

27%

NATO

$8k Vol.
$884 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
F
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?

No

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
F
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

No

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended
F
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?

Yes

$685k Vol.
$0 Liq.
70
Ended
F
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?

No

$400k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
F
Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?

No

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
F
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Culture · Politics

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Yes

$777k Vol.
$0 Liq.
56
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Yes

$2.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
518
Ended
F
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

Greta Thunberg · Gaza

Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?

No

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is the suspect Robin Westman?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?

Yes

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
855
Ended
F
Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test?

No

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
F
Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?

No

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
F
Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?

No

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
F
Fact Check: Was it a real gun?

Yes

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fact Check: Was Trump wearing a bulletproof vest?

No

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended