Executive Actions Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

29%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$443 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

51%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$416 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

14%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$26k Liq.
72
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$102 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

6%

Yes

$10.7m Vol.
$69k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

16%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$14k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$384k Vol.
$599k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$307 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

$242k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$168k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

3%

Yes

$51k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months