Executive Actions Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

16%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$831 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

33%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$448 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

58%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$411 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$21k Liq.
72
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

6%

Yes

$10.7m Vol.
$85k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

16%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$10k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$349k Vol.
$414k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

55%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$643 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

$242k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ended
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$165k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

3%

Yes

$51k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

10%

Yes

$867 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

34%

160-179

$8k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days