Diplomacy Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$247k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$32k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$778k Vol.
$77k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

20%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$11k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

25%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$348 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.2m Vol.
$337k Liq.
🔥$121k today
293
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.9m Vol.
$551k Liq.
🔥$176k today
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

90%

December 31

$254k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 22

$15k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$819k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

70%

March 31, 2027

$11.9m Vol.
$186k Liq.
🔥$149k today
Ends in 9 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

10%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

22%

December 31

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

70%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$150 Liq.
Ends in 3 months