Defense Minister Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$473k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$19k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

Russia military action against EU country by...?

10%

December 31

$143k Vol.
$123k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

European military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$328k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
M
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?

July 17

$434k Vol.
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14
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W
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?

Yes

$31k Vol.
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W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

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W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$76k Vol.
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W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 20+ times

$26k Vol.
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W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times

$34k Vol.
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Y
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by...?

August 31

$28k Vol.
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9
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W
Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Other

$353k Vol.
$2 Liq.
27
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

$134k Vol.
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P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

$37k Vol.
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